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derived/pay/compare_stdout.txt

Derived analysis output (scratchpad derived/pay/compare_stdout.txt).

This is a derived table/summary; the finding's excerpt is usually a paraphrase of its counts, so it may not be highlighted verbatim.

=== A_unknown_window_6payers: payers 6 vs non-payers 40
prior_commit_before    pay 6/6  non 6/40  OR  69.00  p=0.0001
armed                  pay 5/6  non 5/40  OR  23.67  p=0.0010
own_signal_page        pay 4/6  non 5/40  OR  11.62  p=0.0095
accelerated            pay 2/6  non 6/40  OR   2.95  p=0.2766
help_received          pay 1/6  non 6/40  OR   1.45  p=1.0000
addressed_any          pay 3/6  non 4/40  OR   8.11  p=0.0370
prior_fail             pay 0/6  non 1/40  OR   2.03  p=1.0000
hub_any                pay 2/6  non 16/40  OR   0.82  p=1.0000
first_in_window        pay 0/6  non 6/40  OR   0.41  p=0.5785
n_prior_posts          pay med     4.5 (n6)  non med     2.0 (n40)  perm p=0.6420
n_prior_pages          pay med     2.0 (n6)  non med     2.0 (n40)  perm p=0.7901
hub_posts              pay med     0.0 (n6)  non med     0.0 (n40)  perm p=0.6653
min_since_flip         pay med    50.7 (n6)  non med   101.3 (n40)  perm p=0.9465
order_unknown_window   pay med     5.5 (n6)  non med     4.0 (n40)  perm p=0.1953
timer_s                pay med    34.5 (n4)  non med    17.0 (n27)  perm p=0.9206
addressed_n            pay med     0.5 (n6)  non med     0.0 (n40)  perm p=0.0320
n_commit_lines         pay med     1.5 (n6)  non med     0.0 (n40)  perm p=0.0001

=== B_unknown_window_8payers_incl_invisible: payers 8 vs non-payers 40
prior_commit_before    pay 8/8  non 6/40  OR  90.23  p=0.0000
armed                  pay 6/8  non 5/40  OR  16.78  p=0.0008
own_signal_page        pay 4/8  non 5/40  OR   6.45  p=0.0307
accelerated            pay 4/8  non 6/40  OR   5.31  p=0.0471
help_received          pay 2/8  non 6/40  OR   2.04  p=0.6047
addressed_any          pay 4/8  non 4/40  OR   8.11  p=0.0185
prior_fail             pay 0/8  non 1/40  OR   1.55  p=1.0000
hub_any                pay 3/8  non 16/40  OR   0.94  p=1.0000
first_in_window        pay 1/8  non 6/40  OR   1.06  p=1.0000
n_prior_posts          pay med     4.5 (n8)  non med     2.0 (n40)  perm p=0.4341
n_prior_pages          pay med     2.0 (n8)  non med     2.0 (n40)  perm p=0.6339
hub_posts              pay med     0.0 (n8)  non med     0.0 (n40)  perm p=0.9002
min_since_flip         pay med    53.7 (n8)  non med   101.3 (n40)  perm p=0.8518
order_unknown_window   pay med     4.5 (n8)  non med     4.0 (n40)  perm p=0.6334
timer_s                pay med    43.0 (n6)  non med    17.0 (n27)  perm p=0.2594
addressed_n            pay med     0.5 (n8)  non med     0.0 (n40)  perm p=0.0282
n_commit_lines         pay med     1.5 (n8)  non med     0.0 (n40)  perm p=0.0000

=== E_8payers_vs_nonpayers_excl_still_waiting: payers 8 vs non-payers 38
prior_commit_before    pay 8/8  non 4/38  OR 130.33  p=0.0000
armed                  pay 6/8  non 3/38  OR  26.37  p=0.0002
own_signal_page        pay 4/8  non 4/38  OR   7.67  p=0.0217
accelerated            pay 4/8  non 5/38  OR   6.09  p=0.0359
help_received          pay 2/8  non 5/38  OR   2.34  p=0.5874
addressed_any          pay 4/8  non 4/38  OR   7.67  p=0.0217
prior_fail             pay 0/8  non 0/38  OR   4.53  p=1.0000
hub_any                pay 3/8  non 15/38  OR   0.96  p=1.0000
first_in_window        pay 1/8  non 6/38  OR   1.00  p=1.0000
n_prior_posts          pay med     4.5 (n8)  non med     2.0 (n38)  perm p=0.1512
n_prior_pages          pay med     2.0 (n8)  non med     2.0 (n38)  perm p=0.4212
hub_posts              pay med     0.0 (n8)  non med     0.0 (n38)  perm p=0.6531
min_since_flip         pay med    53.7 (n8)  non med    83.2 (n38)  perm p=0.9935
order_unknown_window   pay med     4.5 (n8)  non med     4.0 (n38)  perm p=0.5545
timer_s                pay med    43.0 (n6)  non med    15.0 (n25)  perm p=0.2777
addressed_n            pay med     0.5 (n8)  non med     0.0 (n38)  perm p=0.0323
n_commit_lines         pay med     1.5 (n8)  non med     0.0 (n38)  perm p=0.0000
commit->pay table (E): [('OpenAIFPResearchSep05', 'answered_first_then_posted'), ('LanguageHelperJul17', 'silent_after_final'), ('SectorAgentFeb25OAI', 'posted_after(other)'), ('AgentNov21OAI', 'posted_after(other)')]

=== C_strict_nonpayers: payers 6 vs non-payers 24
prior_commit_before    pay 6/6  non 4/24  OR  59.22  p=0.0004
armed                  pay 5/6  non 4/24  OR  16.70  p=0.0046
own_signal_page        pay 4/6  non 3/24  OR  11.06  p=0.0157
accelerated            pay 2/6  non 5/24  OR   1.97  p=0.6033
help_received          pay 1/6  non 6/24  OR   0.78  p=1.0000
addressed_any          pay 3/6  non 3/24  OR   6.14  p=0.0754
prior_fail             pay 0/6  non 1/24  OR   1.21  p=1.0000
hub_any                pay 2/6  non 10/24  OR   0.77  p=1.0000
first_in_window        pay 0/6  non 4/24  OR   0.35  p=0.5569
n_prior_posts          pay med     4.5 (n6)  non med     3.0 (n24)  perm p=0.8739
n_prior_pages          pay med     2.0 (n6)  non med     2.0 (n24)  perm p=0.9016
hub_posts              pay med     0.0 (n6)  non med     0.0 (n24)  perm p=1.0000
min_since_flip         pay med    50.7 (n6)  non med   125.4 (n24)  perm p=0.7066
order_unknown_window   pay med     5.5 (n6)  non med     4.5 (n24)  perm p=0.2964
timer_s                pay med    34.5 (n4)  non med    14.0 (n16)  perm p=0.9713
addressed_n            pay med     0.5 (n6)  non med     0.0 (n24)  perm p=0.0752
n_commit_lines         pay med     1.5 (n6)  non med     0.0 (n24)  perm p=0.0001

=== D_value_public_redundant_vs_not: payers 5 vs non-payers 94
prior_commit_before    pay 4/5  non 10/94  OR  24.14  p=0.0012
armed                  pay 3/5  non 18/94  OR   5.79  p=0.0627
own_signal_page        pay 4/5  non 27/94  OR   7.36  p=0.0323
accelerated            pay 3/5  non 27/94  OR   3.44  p=0.1616
help_received          pay 1/5  non 14/94  OR   1.85  p=0.5684
addressed_any          pay 1/5  non 11/94  OR   2.42  p=0.4834
prior_fail             pay 1/5  non 0/94  OR  63.00  p=0.0505
hub_any                pay 4/5  non 17/94  OR  13.29  p=0.0068
first_in_window        pay 0/5  non 0/94  OR  17.18  p=1.0000
n_prior_posts          pay med     5.0 (n5)  non med     3.0 (n94)  perm p=0.3202
n_prior_pages          pay med     4.0 (n5)  non med     1.5 (n94)  perm p=0.3347
hub_posts              pay med     2.0 (n5)  non med     0.0 (n94)  perm p=0.0597
min_since_flip         pay med    84.2 (n5)  non med   217.2 (n94)  perm p=0.1874
timer_s                pay med    30.0 (n2)  non med    47.0 (n44)  perm p=0.3010
addressed_n            pay med     0.0 (n5)  non med     0.0 (n94)  perm p=0.9004
n_commit_lines         pay med     1.0 (n5)  non med     0.0 (n94)  perm p=0.0014

fates (unknown window non-payers): Counter({'posted_after(other)': 18, 'silent_after_final': 15, 'answered_first_then_posted': 7})
fates (value public non-payers): Counter({'value_already_public+silent': 55, 'value_already_public+posted_after': 39})
cashier [('CashierCoordJul16O', 'n', '0', '0', '0'), ('CashierCoordJul05O', 'n', '0', '0', '0'), ('Jun07OAI', 'n', '0', '0', '0'), ('CashierCoordMay07O', 'n', '0', '0', '0'), ('CashierCoordOct22O', 'n', '0', '0', '0'), ('CashierCoordSep01O', 'p', '1', '1', '1')]
clothing [('OpenAIJan08Runner', 'n', '0', '0', '0'), ('Jul09ClothingObser', 'n', '0', '0', '0'), ('OpenAIResearchDec1', 'n', '0', '0', '0'), ('OpenAiResearcherJu', 'p', '1', '0', '1')]
fp [('OpenAIFPResearchSe', 'n', '1', '0', '0'), ('OpenAINov27FP', 'p', '1', '1', '0')]
grocery [('GroceryAgentMar10X', 'n', '0', '0', '0'), ('GroceryAgentNov08X', 'n', '0', '0', '1'), ('OpenAIThreadMay31F', 'n', '0', '0', '0'), ('OpenAIResearchApr1', 'n', '0', '0', '0'), ('Agent3Mar25', 'n', '0', '0', '0'), ('GroceryAgentFeb27X', 'n', '0', '0', '0'), ('OpenAIJan09Sprint', 'n', '0', '0', '0'), ('GroceryAgentJul17X', 'n', '0', '0', '1'), ('Jul15GroceryTeam', 'n', '0', '0', '0'), ('GroceryAgentAug02X', 'n', '0', '0', '0'), ('OpenAIJul14Grocery', 'n', '0', '0', '0'), ('Oct19Team', 'n', '0', '0', '0'), ('GroceryFeb09Relay', 'n', '0', '0', '0'), ('GroceryOurApr20X', 'p', '1', '1', '1')]
language [('LanguageHelperOct2', 'n', '0', '0', '0'), ('OpenAIResearchSep1', 'n', '1', '1', '0'), ('AgentOpenResearchA', 'n', '0', '0', '0'), ('AgentMay08LangProb', 'n', '0', '0', '0'), ('LanguageHelperJul1', 'n', '1', '1', '0'), ('AgentFrenchPrepXQ2', 'n', '1', '1', '1'), ('OpenAIResearchFeb1', 'n', '0', '0', '0'), ('OpenAIResearchOct2', 'n', '0', '0', '0'), ('LanguageWatcherNov', 'n', '1', '1', '0'), ('OpenAIJul01LangX', 'n', '0', '0', '0'), ('OpenAIResearchSep0', 'p', '1', '1', '1')]
poverty [('Sep15SequenceWatch', 'n', '1', '0', '0'), ('Feb02PovertyWatche', 'n', '0', '0', '0'), ('July05PovertyWatch', 'n', '0', '0', '0'), ('Apr27PovertyWatche', 'n', '0', '0', '1'), ('Sep13PovertyWatche', 'n', '0', '1', '1'), ('Feb11PovertyWatche', 'n', '0', '0', '0')]
sector61 [('OpenAIThread4ffeaM', 'n', '0', '0', '0'), ('SectorAgentFeb25OA', 'n', '1', '1', '0'), ('AgentJun20OAI2028', 'n', '0', '0', '0'), ('AgentNov21OAI', 'n', '1', '0', '0'), ('OpenAI-Dec27', 'p', '1', '1', '0')]